All Markets

World Cup Winner

Spain59.1%58.5%

Argentina - Final58.9%57.5%

Spain - Champion58.5%58.8%

P $4.3B|K $1.2BA 1.5%

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom20.2%19.5%

Jon Ossoff14.7%14.5%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez14.5%14.5%

P $1.2B|K $154.2MA 3.4%

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

JD Vance41.2%39.5%

Marco Rubio27.1%29.5%

Tucker Carlson3.1%2.4%

P $675.9M|K $51.9MA 8.6%

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Gavin Newsom–26%

Rahm Emanuel–24%

JD Vance19.8%16.5%

P $662.8M|K $52.1MA 3.5%

PGA Tour: The Open Championship Winner

Scottie Scheffler14.5%13.5%

Cameron Young11.3%11.5%

Lucas Herbert8.5%8.3%

P $2.1M|K $228.6MA 1.0%

F1 Drivers' Champion

Kimi Antonelli58.9%61.5%

George Russell15.5%16%

Lewis Hamilton13.4%18%

P $198.1M|K $7.1MA 4.6%

NBA: LeBron James Next Team

Cleveland Cavaliers28.8%31.5%

Miami Heat25.1%27.5%

Golden State Warriors23.5%25.5%

P $24.0M|K $141.6MA 4.5%

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva60.5%62.5%

Flávio Bolsonaro26.5%27.5%

Renan Santos7.6%5.8%

P $113.7M|K $2.5MA 2.0%

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen32.6%38%

Édouard Philippe26.5%29%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%10.5%

P $114.7M|K $231.6KA 5.5%

When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?78%–

↑ 70,00067.5%–

↓ 55,00053.5%–

P $85.4M|K $16.0MA 22.0%

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro79.7%0.4%

Delcy Rodríguez12.5%18.5%

Urrutia Dec - Edmundo González–6.3%

P $94.3M|K $5.0MA 6.0%

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Before Jan 20, 2029–23.5%

Before 2028–16.5%

Before December–5.5%

P $63.2M|K $32.7MA 2.8%

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra93.8%93.4%

Steve Hilton6.2%7%

Chad Bianco0.2%–

P $40.3M|K $48.6MA 0.8%

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

Lionel Messi57.7%56.5%

Kylian Mbappe41.5%42.5%

Harry Kane0.9%0.5%

P $65.3M|K $21.5MA 1.2%

England vs. Argentina - More Markets

Viking FK Sandefjord - O/U 0.597.2%–

France England - O/U 0.596.2%–

Molde FK SK - O/U 0.595.6%–

P $72.4M|K $10.6MA 42.5%

Fed Decision in July?

Above 2.75%–99.5%

Above 3.25%–99.5%

Above 3.00%–99.5%

P $70.2M|K $1.9M

Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion

Los Angeles Rams24.5%–

Los Angeles R–16.5%

Baltimore Ravens15.5%5.5%

P $9.7M|K $43.7MA 10.0%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Before Jul 1, 2027–69.5%

Before Apr 1, 2027–62.5%

No Return to Normal Traffic in 202649%–

P $11.3M|K $32.4MA 20.0%

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Before Jan 21, 2029–22%

Before Jan 2028–15.5%

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?4.6%5.4%

P $35.0M|K $473.5KA 0.8%

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gustavo Petro–97.6%

Gadi Eizenkot49.4%–

Christopher Luxon–45.5%

P $28.0M|K $3.9MA 6.5%

F1 Constructors' Champion

Mercedes85.5%82.5%

Ferrari12%15%

McLaren1.6%1.5%

P $27.5M|K $1.7MA 3.0%

World Cup: Nation to Reach Final

Switzerland - Quarterfinals76%–

France - Semifinals41.5%–

France - Champion38.5%–

P $14.7M|K $13.7M

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed maintains rate–94.5%

Hike 25bps–5.5%

Cut 25bps–0.5%

P $2.9M|K $24.1M

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Inter Miami CF31%30%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC13.2%13.5%

Nashville SC8.1%9.5%

P $19.3M|K $905.0KA 5.0%

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

PayPal66%62.5%

MGM Resorts66%–

Spire Healthcare–46.5%

P $18.1M|K $68.3KA 10.0%

NBA: 2027 Champion

Oklahoma City Thunder26.5%21.5%

San Antonio Spurs18.5%18.5%

Philadelphia–7.5%

P $7.1M|K $10.2MA 5.0%

Which continent will win the World Cup?

Europe (UEFA)58.5%58%

South America (CONMEBOL)40.5%41.5%

P $10.6M|K $6.4MA 1.0%

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

Lionel Messi90.9%90.5%

Rodri5.2%6.5%

Lamine Yamal2.1%1.5%

P $11.1M|K $5.7MA 1.9%

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

Byron Donalds96.6%95.6%

Jim Holcomb25.5%–

Caneste Succe25.5%–

P $2.0M|K $9.3MA 1.0%

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)

None before 202749.5%–

Before January 20, 2029–29%

Before 2028–18%

P $39.2K|K $10.2MA 3.6%

MLB: Home Runs Leader

Pro Baseball - Yordan Alvarez–99.5%

Pro Baseball - Ben Rice–97.5%

Pro Baseball - Junior Caminero–97%

P $9.3M|K $343.7KA 45.0%

IPOs before 2027?

Jersey Mike's–99.5%

SHEIN85.5%79.5%

Who - Anthropic–76.5%

P $6.9M|K $2.1MA 7.1%

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

↑3k87%91.5%

↑3.5k61.5%–

↑4k35.5%39.5%

P $7.8M|K $786.7KA 4.5%

NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year

Caleb Wilson22%24.5%

Cameron Boozer22%23%

Darryn Peterson18.5%21%

P $7.8M|K $216.9KA 3.0%

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

New York Yankees26.5%24.5%

Seattle Mariners16.5%14.5%

Tampa Bay Rays15.5%14.5%

P $4.1M|K $3.1MA 2.3%

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Before 2028–76.5%

Before July 2027–66%

Fed rate hike in 2026?52.5%51.5%

P $4.2M|K $2.7MA 1.0%