PMXTERMINALBeta

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

135 outcomes · 32 on both platforms · $727.9M total volume · United States

Price history - top outcomes

CandidatePolymarketAlphaKalshi
JD Vance
P $14.5M Vol.K $3.6M Vol.
41.3%
Yes 41.3¢No 58.8¢
1.3%2.2%
39.5%
Yes 40.0¢No 61.0¢
Marco Rubio
P $9.8M Vol.K $4.7M Vol.
26.9%
Yes 26.9¢No 73.2¢
3.1%2.2%
29.5%
Yes 30.0¢No 71.0¢
Tucker Carlson
P $11.8M Vol.K $3.4M Vol.
3.1%
Yes 3.1¢No 97.0¢
0.5%0.9%
2.4%
Yes 2.6¢No 97.9¢
Ron DeSantis
P $15.0M Vol.K $2.7M Vol.
2.5%
Yes 2.5¢No 97.6¢
3.0%3.0%
5.5%
Yes 5.5¢No 94.6¢
Donald Trump
P $9.1M Vol.K $32.9K Vol.
1.3%
Yes 1.3¢No 98.8¢
12%5.4%
9.8%
Yes 13.0¢No 93.4¢
Donald Trump Jr.
P $9.4M Vol.K $2.3M Vol.
1.2%
Yes 1.2¢No 98.9¢
2.8%2.6%
3.9%
Yes 4.0¢No 96.3¢
Glenn Youngkin
P $8.3M Vol.K $941.1K Vol.
1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.0¢
0.1%0.2%
0.9%
Yes 1.0¢No 99.2¢
Ted Cruz
P $18.6M Vol.K $1.3M Vol.
1%
Yes 1.0¢No 99.1¢
0.1%0.1%
1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.0¢
Vivek Ramaswamy
P $15.9M Vol.K $1.2M Vol.
1%
Yes 1.0¢No 99.1¢
0.4%0.5%
0.5%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.6¢
Ivanka Trump
P $8.1M Vol.K $1.8M Vol.
1%
Yes 1.0¢No 99.1¢
0.3%0.2%
1.2%
Yes 1.3¢No 98.9¢
Elon Musk
P $28.6M Vol.K $948.8K Vol.
0.9%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.2¢
0.7%0.7%
0.2%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
Rand Paul
P $19.2M Vol.K $1.1M Vol.
0.9%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.2¢
0.3%0.3%
0.6%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.5¢
Byron Donalds
P $44.3M Vol.K $828.6K Vol.
0.8%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.3¢
0.4%0.4%
0.4%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
Greg Abbott
P $20.6M Vol.K $1.0M Vol.
0.8%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.3¢
0.4%0.4%
0.4%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
Brian Kemp
P $17.4M Vol.K $1.2M Vol.
0.8%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.3¢
··
0.8%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.3¢
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
P $16.7M Vol.K $1.2M Vol.
0.8%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.3¢
0.4%0.4%
0.4%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
Tulsi Gabbard
P $13.6M Vol.K $1.4M Vol.
0.8%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.3¢
0.2%0.2%
0.6%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.5¢
Marjorie Taylor Greene
P $6.5M Vol.K $2.7M Vol.
0.8%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.3¢
0.2%0.2%
1%
Yes 1.0¢No 99.1¢
Thomas Massie
P $5.9M Vol.K $2.8M Vol.
0.7%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.4¢
0.7%0.8%
1.4%
Yes 1.5¢No 98.6¢
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
P $32.2M Vol.K $990.8K Vol.
0.7%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.4¢
0.1%0.1%
0.6%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.5¢
Elise Stefanik
P $27.8M Vol.K $694.5K Vol.
0.7%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.4¢
0.4%0.4%
0.3%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
Eric Trump
P $9.8M Vol.K $1.1M Vol.
0.7%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.4¢
0.4%0.5%
0.2%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
Steve Bannon
P $22.7M Vol.K $793.0K Vol.
0.6%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.5¢
0.2%0.2%
0.4%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
Josh Hawley
P $20.0M Vol.K $1.3M Vol.
0.6%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.5¢
0.3%0.3%
0.9%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.2¢
Erika Kirk
P $18.6M Vol.K $771.4K Vol.
0.6%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.5¢
·0.3%
0.4%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.8¢
Katie Britt
P $28.7M Vol.K $668.9K Vol.
0.5%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.6¢
0.1%0.3%
0.3%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.9¢
Matt Gaetz
P $19.9M Vol.K $827.9K Vol.
0.5%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.6¢
0.3%0.3%
0.2%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
Nikki Haley
P $10.2M Vol.K $1.8M Vol.
0.5%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.6¢
0.1%·
0.5%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.6¢
Pete Hegseth
P $8.6M Vol.K $751.0K Vol.
0.5%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.6¢
0.1%0.1%
0.4%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
John Thune
P $35.5M Vol.K $392.6K Vol.
0.4%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.7¢
0.3%0.2%
0.2%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
Mike Pence
P $43.1M Vol.K $949.8K Vol.
0.4%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
0.1%·
0.4%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.7¢
Tom Brady
P $32.8M Vol.
0.6%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.5¢
··
–
Kim Kardashian
P $28.2M Vol.
0.5%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.6¢
··
–
Joe Kent
P $8.3M Vol.
0.5%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.6¢
··
–
Donald J. Trump
K $3.3M Vol.
–
··
2.9%
Yes 3.0¢No 97.2¢
Jeff Bezos
K $91.2K Vol.
–
··
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Presidency - Candace Owens
K $57.3K Vol.
–
··
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Spencer Pratt
K $26.6K Vol.
–
··
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Lara Trump
K $14.7K Vol.
–
··
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Tom Cotton
K $524.7K Vol.
–
··
0.4%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢

Arbitrage opportunities

Expires in 2 years • Nov 7, 2028

Ron DeSantis

YES on Polymarket2.5¢NO on Kalshi94.6¢

P $15.0M|K $2.7M

0.98%-2.88% net2.99% gross

Expires in 2 years • Nov 7, 2028

Marco Rubio

YES on Polymarket26.9¢NO on Kalshi71.0¢

P $9.8M|K $4.7M

0.65%-1.55% net2.15% gross

Expires in 2 years • Nov 7, 2028

J.D. Vance

YES on Kalshi40.0¢NO on Polymarket58.8¢

P $14.5M|K $3.6M

0.00%-0.38% net1.21% gross

Estimates from latest executable asks; fees, slippage and settlement rules vary. Not guaranteed profit.