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Next French Presidential Election

129 outcomes · 27 on both platforms · $114.9M total volume · French Election

Price history - top outcomes

CandidatePolymarketAlphaKalshi
Marine Le Pen
P $1.5M Vol.K $79.2K Vol.
32.6%
Yes 32.6¢No 67.5¢
6.4%4.5%
38%
Yes 39.0¢No 63.0¢
Édouard Philippe
P $1.1M Vol.K $23.7K Vol.
26.5%
Yes 27.0¢No 74.0¢
4.0%1.0%
29%
Yes 31.0¢No 73.0¢
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
P $1.1M Vol.K $11.9K Vol.
12.5%
Yes 13.0¢No 88.0¢
2.0%2.0%
10.5%
Yes 11.0¢No 90.0¢
Jordan Bardella
P $1.7M Vol.K $68.8K Vol.
3.7%
Yes 3.8¢No 96.4¢
4.2%1.6%
6.6%
Yes 8.0¢No 94.8¢
Bruno Retailleau
P $1.9M Vol.K $2.9K Vol.
3.1%
Yes 3.1¢No 97.0¢
0.6%2.2%
2.3%
Yes 3.7¢No 99.2¢
François Hollande
P $1.4M Vol.K $2.7K Vol.
2.8%
Yes 2.9¢No 97.3¢
5.1%0.3%
5.5%
Yes 8.0¢No 97.0¢
Gabriel Attal
P $1.8M Vol.K $11.8K Vol.
2.5%
Yes 2.5¢No 97.6¢
0.4%0.8%
2.3%
Yes 2.9¢No 98.4¢
Dominique de Villepin
P $1.5M Vol.K $6.4K Vol.
2%
Yes 2.1¢No 98.1¢
2.9%1.3%
2.8%
Yes 5.0¢No 99.4¢
Sébastien Lecornu
P $1.3M Vol.K $2.2K Vol.
1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.0¢
0.8%0.7%
1.1%
Yes 1.9¢No 99.7¢
Sarah Knafo
P $1.6M Vol.K $1.1K Vol.
1%
Yes 1.0¢No 99.1¢
3.3%0.2%
2.7%
Yes 4.3¢No 98.9¢
Éric Zemmour
P $1.9M Vol.K $1.8K Vol.
0.8%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.3¢
1.1%0.4%
1.1%
Yes 1.9¢No 99.7¢
Bernard Cazeneuve
P $1.9M Vol.K $59 Vol.
0.6%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.5¢
0.5%0.4%
0.6%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.9¢
Laurent Wauquiez
P $3.4M Vol.K $1 Vol.
0.4%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
0.6%0.2%
0.6%
Yes 1.0¢No 99.9¢
Gérald Darmanin
P $1.7M Vol.K $95 Vol.
0.4%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
0.6%0.2%
0.6%
Yes 1.0¢No 99.9¢
François Bayrou
P $5.7M Vol.K $1.0K Vol.
0.3%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
1.3%0.1%
0.9%
Yes 1.6¢No 99.9¢
Michel Barnier
P $5.0M Vol.K $2 Vol.
0.3%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.6%0.1%
0.5%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.9¢
Olivier Faure
P $4.9M Vol.K $101 Vol.
0.3%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.8%0.1%
0.6%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.9¢
François Ruffin
P $3.0M Vol.K $2.5K Vol.
0.3%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
1.8%0.8%
1.6%
Yes 2.1¢No 99.0¢
Jean Castex
P $1.2M Vol.K $397 Vol.
0.3%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
1.2%0.1%
0.8%
Yes 1.5¢No 99.9¢
Mathilde Panot
P $6.2M Vol.K $2 Vol.
0.2%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.7%·
0.5%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.9¢
Yaël Braun-Pivet
P $5.4M Vol.K $24 Vol.
0.2%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.8%·
0.6%
Yes 1.0¢No 99.9¢
Élisabeth Borne
P $5.2M Vol.K $1 Vol.
0.2%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.7%·
0.5%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.9¢
Xavier Bertrand
P $5.1M Vol.K $3 Vol.
0.2%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.7%·
0.5%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.9¢
Manuel Bompard
P $4.6M Vol.K $7 Vol.
0.2%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.7%·
0.5%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.9¢
Carole Delga
P $4.5M Vol.K $8 Vol.
0.2%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.8%·
0.6%
Yes 1.0¢No 99.9¢
Valérie Pécresse
P $3.9M Vol.K $1 Vol.
0.2%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.8%·
0.6%
Yes 1.0¢No 99.9¢
David Lisnard
P $1.5M Vol.
3.4%
Yes 3.4¢No 96.7¢
··
–
Raphaël Glucksmann
P $1.3M Vol.
1.9%
Yes 1.9¢No 98.2¢
··
–
Juan Branco
P $1.8M Vol.
0.4%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
··
–
Ségolène Royal
P $5.2M Vol.
0.3%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
··
–
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
P $4.5M Vol.
0.3%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
··
–
Clémence Guetté
P $3.9M Vol.
0.3%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
··
–
Marine Tondelier
P $3.4M Vol.
0.3%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
··
–
Karim Bouamrane
P $50.3K Vol.
0.3%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
··
–
François Asselineau
P $5.4M Vol.
0.2%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
··
–
Clémentine Autain
P $4.7M Vol.
0.2%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
··
–
Fabien Roussel
P $3.8M Vol.
0.2%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
··
–
Yannick Jadot
P $149.2K Vol.
0.2%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
··
–
François Baroin
P $134.9K Vol.
0.2%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
··
–
Bruno Le Maire
K $2 Vol.
–
··
0.5%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.9¢

Arbitrage opportunities

Expires in 9 months • Apr 30, 2027

Marine Le Pen

YES on Polymarket32.6¢NO on Kalshi63.0¢

P $1.5M|K $79.2K

3.19%-3.83% net4.60% gross

Estimates from latest executable asks; fees, slippage and settlement rules vary. Not guaranteed profit.