PMXTERMINALBeta

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)

25 outcomes · 1 on both platforms · $10.2M total volume · Starmer

Price history - top outcomes

CandidatePolymarketAlphaKalshi
Trump - USA President
P $889 Vol.K $5.4M Vol.
2.4%
Yes 4.3¢No 99.6¢
1.7%5.5%
6%
Yes 6.0¢No 94.1¢
None before 2027
P $7.9K Vol.
49.5%
Yes 50.0¢No 51.0¢
··
–
Lecornu - France PM
P $3.0K Vol.
14.5%
Yes 17.0¢No 88.0¢
··
–
Netanyahu - Israel PM
P $1.9K Vol.
14%
Yes 16.0¢No 88.0¢
··
–
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
P $2.1K Vol.
7.5%
Yes 10.5¢No 95.5¢
··
–
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
P $5.8K Vol.
5.5%
Yes 6.0¢No 95.0¢
··
–
Sánchez - Spanish PM
P $1.1K Vol.
4%
Yes 5.0¢No 97.0¢
··
–
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
P $852 Vol.
3.9%
Yes 4.8¢No 97.1¢
··
–
Putin - Russia President
P $1.2K Vol.
2.8%
Yes 4.2¢No 98.7¢
··
–
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
P $1.2K Vol.
2.5%
Yes 4.7¢No 99.7¢
··
–
Newsom - California Governor
P $830 Vol.
2.4%
Yes 4.6¢No 99.8¢
··
–
Milei - Argentina President
P $662 Vol.
2.4%
Yes 4.6¢No 99.8¢
··
–
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
P $903 Vol.
2.1%
Yes 3.9¢No 99.8¢
··
–
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
P $1.5K Vol.
2%
Yes 3.3¢No 99.3¢
··
–
Abbas - President of Palestine
P $1.5K Vol.
1.9%
Yes 2.2¢No 98.5¢
··
–
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
P $1.9K Vol.
1.6%
Yes 2.8¢No 99.7¢
··
–
Takaichi - Japan PM
P $849 Vol.
0.9%
Yes 1.6¢No 99.8¢
··
–
Albanese - Australia PM
P $961 Vol.
0.7%
Yes 1.2¢No 99.8¢
··
–
Macron - France President
P $796 Vol.
0.6%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.7¢
··
–
al-Sharaa - Syria President
P $957 Vol.
0.4%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.8¢
··
–
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
P $1.4K Vol.
0.2%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
··
–
Merz - German Chancellor
P $1.2K Vol.
0.2%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
··
–
Before January 20, 2029
K $491.8K Vol.
–
··
29.5%
Yes 30.0¢No 71.0¢
Before 2028
K $749.2K Vol.
–
··
18%
Yes 19.0¢No 83.0¢
Before August 1, 2026
K $3.5M Vol.
–
··
0.6%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.5¢