PMXTERMINALBeta

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

134 outcomes · 40 on both platforms · $1.4B total volume · United States

Price history - top outcomes

CandidatePolymarketAlphaKalshi
Gavin Newsom
P $26.5M Vol.K $7.7M Vol.
20.2%
Yes 20.2¢No 79.9¢
0.2%1.1%
19.5%
Yes 20.0¢No 81.0¢
Jon Ossoff
P $12.2M Vol.K $5.5M Vol.
14.7%
Yes 14.7¢No 85.4¢
0.3%0.6%
14.5%
Yes 15.0¢No 86.0¢
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
P $14.0M Vol.K $6.7M Vol.
14.5%
Yes 14.5¢No 85.6¢
0.5%0.4%
14.5%
Yes 15.0¢No 86.0¢
Kamala Harris
P $12.6M Vol.K $5.5M Vol.
6.8%
Yes 6.8¢No 93.3¢
1.5%1.5%
8.3%
Yes 8.3¢No 91.8¢
Josh Shapiro
P $9.1M Vol.K $4.1M Vol.
5.3%
Yes 5.3¢No 94.8¢
0.5%0.5%
4.8%
Yes 4.8¢No 95.3¢
Pete Buttigieg
P $11.6M Vol.K $4.5M Vol.
5.1%
Yes 5.1¢No 95.0¢
0.1%0.1%
5.2%
Yes 5.2¢No 94.9¢
Jon Stewart
P $24.5M Vol.K $3.8M Vol.
2.3%
Yes 2.3¢No 97.8¢
0.7%0.7%
1.6%
Yes 1.6¢No 98.5¢
Rahm Emanuel
P $14.3M Vol.K $5.5M Vol.
2.2%
Yes 2.2¢No 97.9¢
3.4%3.3%
5.5%
Yes 5.6¢No 94.6¢
Andy Beshear
P $12.8M Vol.K $4.1M Vol.
2.2%
Yes 2.2¢No 97.9¢
1.7%1.6%
3.8%
Yes 3.9¢No 96.3¢
Ro Khanna
P $11.1M Vol.K $5.5M Vol.
2%
Yes 2.1¢No 98.1¢
0.6%0.7%
2.7%
Yes 2.7¢No 97.4¢
Wes Moore
P $16.8M Vol.K $3.8M Vol.
1.4%
Yes 1.4¢No 98.7¢
0.9%0.9%
2.3%
Yes 2.3¢No 97.8¢
Michelle Obama
P $26.0M Vol.K $4.1M Vol.
1.2%
Yes 1.2¢No 98.9¢
0.4%0.2%
1.4%
Yes 1.6¢No 98.7¢
James Talarico
P $10.1M Vol.K $5.3M Vol.
1.2%
Yes 1.2¢No 98.9¢
0.5%0.1%
1.5%
Yes 1.7¢No 98.8¢
Mark Kelly
P $16.6M Vol.K $5.7M Vol.
0.9%
Yes 1.0¢No 99.2¢
2.7%2.4%
3.5%
Yes 3.7¢No 96.8¢
Roy Cooper
P $31.2M Vol.K $2.5M Vol.
0.9%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.2¢
0.6%0.6%
0.3%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
Stephen A. Smith
P $21.4M Vol.K $5.7M Vol.
0.9%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.2¢
0.5%0.5%
0.4%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
JB Pritzker
P $15.0M Vol.K $4.6M Vol.
0.9%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.2¢
1.8%1.8%
2.7%
Yes 2.7¢No 97.4¢
Mark Cuban
P $22.7M Vol.K $3.8M Vol.
0.8%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.3¢
··
0.8%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.3¢
Chris Murphy
P $17.0M Vol.K $2.7M Vol.
0.8%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.3¢
0.2%0.2%
0.6%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.5¢
Barack Obama
P $33.7M Vol.K $2.5M Vol.
0.7%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.4¢
0.5%0.5%
0.2%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
Jared Polis
P $27.0M Vol.K $1.4M Vol.
0.7%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.4¢
0.5%0.5%
0.2%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
Cory Booker
P $25.3M Vol.K $2.7M Vol.
0.7%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.4¢
0.1%0.1%
0.8%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.3¢
Gretchen Whitmer
P $11.0M Vol.K $3.2M Vol.
0.7%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.4¢
·0.1%
0.6%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.5¢
Hillary Clinton
P $43.4M Vol.K $2.1M Vol.
0.6%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.5¢
0.5%0.4%
0.2%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
Bernie Sanders
P $52.1M Vol.K $3.4M Vol.
0.6%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.5¢
0.1%0.1%
0.7%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.4¢
Hunter Biden
P $43.6M Vol.K $6.5M Vol.
0.6%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.5¢
0.1%0.2%
0.4%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.7¢
Andrew Yang
P $48.1M Vol.K $1.8M Vol.
0.6%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.5¢
0.3%0.3%
0.3%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
Raphael Warnock
P $31.8M Vol.K $2.5M Vol.
0.6%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.5¢
0.1%0.1%
0.5%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.6¢
Gina Raimondo
P $35.5M Vol.K $2.2M Vol.
0.5%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.6¢
0.4%0.3%
0.2%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
Zohran Mamdani
P $38.5M Vol.K $5.3M Vol.
0.5%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.6¢
0.2%0.2%
0.3%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
Chelsea Clinton
P $50.0M Vol.
0.9%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.2¢
··
–
Jasmine Crockett
P $35.8M Vol.
0.7%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.4¢
··
–
Oprah Winfrey
P $54.1M Vol.
0.6%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.5¢
··
–
Phil Murphy
P $41.7M Vol.
0.6%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.5¢
··
–
LeBron James
P $43.6M Vol.
0.5%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.6¢
··
–
George Clooney
P $42.7M Vol.
0.5%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.6¢
··
–
Elissa Slotkin
K $3.1M Vol.
–
··
0.6%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.5¢
Mitch Landrieu
K $107.1K Vol.
–
··
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Abdul El-Sayed
K $104.1K Vol.
–
··
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢

Arbitrage opportunities

Expires in 2 years • Nov 7, 2028

Rahm Emanuel

YES on Polymarket2.2¢NO on Kalshi94.6¢

P $14.3M|K $5.5M

1.29%-3.19% net3.31% gross

Expires in 2 years • Nov 7, 2028

Mark Kelly

YES on Polymarket1.0¢NO on Kalshi96.8¢

P $16.6M|K $5.7M

0.22%-2.18% net2.25% gross

Estimates from latest executable asks; fees, slippage and settlement rules vary. Not guaranteed profit.