Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

15 outcomes · 9 on both platforms · $847.0K total volume · Politics

Price history - top outcomes

Candidate

Alpha

The Netherlands

P $61.9K Vol.K $5.5K Vol.

13.5%

Yes 14.0¢No 87.0¢

·6.9%

10.1%

Yes 14.0¢No 93.9¢

Finland

P $38.0K Vol.K $9.5K Vol.

13%

Yes 14.0¢No 88.0¢

5.9%9.3%

5.4%

Yes 8.1¢No 97.3¢

Greece

P $46.0K Vol.K $7.0K Vol.

12%

Yes 14.9¢No 91.0¢

3.9%2.9%

8.5%

Yes 11.0¢No 93.9¢

New Zealand

P $124.1K Vol.K $9.7K Vol.

11%

Yes 12.0¢No 90.0¢

4.0%·

13%

Yes 16.0¢No 90.0¢

Italy

P $27.2K Vol.K $13.1K Vol.

11%

Yes 12.0¢No 90.0¢

3.0%2.9%

11%

Yes 15.0¢No 92.9¢

Japan

P $48.9K Vol.K $14.4K Vol.

7.5%

Yes 8.0¢No 93.0¢

5.0%0.5%

9.8%

Yes 13.0¢No 93.5¢

Germany

P $129.0K Vol.K $6.5K Vol.

4.5%

Yes 4.6¢No 95.6¢

6.4%1.8%

6.8%

Yes 11.0¢No 97.4¢

United States

P $25.3K Vol.K $6.5K Vol.

3.7%

Yes 4.0¢No 96.6¢

5.3%1.6%

5.6%

Yes 9.3¢No 98.2¢

Austria

P $172.6K Vol.K $8.8K Vol.

2.1%

Yes 2.1¢No 98.0¢

8.9%0.9%

Yes 11.0¢No 97.1¢

Belgium

P $77.7K Vol.

21%

Yes 24.0¢No 82.0¢

··

–

Israel

P $199 Vol.

Yes 11.0¢No 95.0¢

··

–

Switzerland

K $6.9K Vol.

–

··

Yes 13.0¢No 97.0¢

Singapore

K $939 Vol.

–

··

6.9%

Yes 11.0¢No 97.3¢

South Korea

K $477 Vol.

–

··

6.7%

Yes 11.0¢No 97.7¢

Panama

K $6.7K Vol.

–

··

6.2%

Yes 9.8¢No 97.4¢

Arbitrage opportunities

Expires in 5 months • Dec 31, 2026

Finland

YES on Kalshi8.1¢NO on Polymarket88.0¢

P $38.0K|K $9.5K

2.15%-3.81% net4.06% gross

Estimates from latest executable asks; fees, slippage and settlement rules vary. Not guaranteed profit.