PMXTERMINALBeta

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

26 outcomes · 9 on both platforms · $1.2M total volume · Tech

Price history - top outcomes

CandidatePolymarketAlphaKalshi
Anthropic
P $35.4K Vol.K $227.6K Vol.
65.5%
Yes 66.0¢No 35.0¢
13%13%
52.5%
Yes 53.0¢No 48.0¢
Google
P $18.1K Vol.K $155.6K Vol.
12.5%
Yes 13.0¢No 88.0¢
9.0%10.0%
3%
Yes 4.0¢No 98.0¢
OpenAI
P $27.1K Vol.K $153.5K Vol.
10.5%
Yes 11.0¢No 90.0¢
17%17%
27.5%
Yes 28.0¢No 73.0¢
xAI
P $24.7K Vol.K $137.4K Vol.
3.7%
Yes 4.3¢No 97.0¢
4.7%2.0%
7%
Yes 9.0¢No 95.0¢
DeepSeek
P $28.5K Vol.K $64.4K Vol.
1.9%
Yes 1.9¢No 98.2¢
0.9%1.8%
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Moonshot
P $24.5K Vol.K $65.4K Vol.
1.7%
Yes 1.8¢No 98.5¢
3.2%2.5%
4.5%
Yes 5.0¢No 96.0¢
Z.ai
P $16.7K Vol.K $58.6K Vol.
0.5%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.6¢
0.5%0.4%
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Alibaba
P $15.7K Vol.K $43.2K Vol.
0.5%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.6¢
0.5%0.4%
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Baidu
P $16.7K Vol.K $14.4K Vol.
0.3%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.7%0.2%
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Meta
P $20.1K Vol.
1.4%
Yes 1.5¢No 98.6¢
··
–
ByteDance
P $23.3K Vol.
0.4%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
··
–
Mistral
P $22.8K Vol.
0.3%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
··
–
Amazon
P $18.3K Vol.
0.3%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
··
–
Microsoft
P $17.2K Vol.
0.3%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
··
–
Meituan
P $17.7K Vol.
0.2%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
··
–

Arbitrage opportunities

Expires in 5 months • Dec 31, 2026

Google

YES on Kalshi4.0¢NO on Polymarket88.0¢

P $18.1K|K $155.6K

6.61%-8.43% net8.70% gross

Expires in 5 months • Dec 31, 2026

Moonshot

YES on Polymarket1.8¢NO on Kalshi96.0¢

P $24.5K|K $65.4K

0.24%-2.17% net2.25% gross

Estimates from latest executable asks; fees, slippage and settlement rules vary. Not guaranteed profit.