PMXTERMINALBeta

TIME Person of the Year 2026

23 outcomes · 22 on both platforms · $550.6K total volume · Culture

Price history - top outcomes

CandidatePolymarketAlphaKalshi
Sam Altman
P $60 Vol.K $16.1K Vol.
35%
Yes 65.0¢No 95.0¢
55%3.0%
9%
Yes 10.0¢No 92.0¢
Victor Glover
P $60 Vol.K $1.1K Vol.
25%
Yes 46.0¢No 96.0¢
37%4.0%
8.5%
Yes 9.0¢No 92.0¢
Reid Wiseman
P $108 Vol.K $4.4K Vol.
24%
Yes 44.0¢No 96.0¢
36%2.0%
7%
Yes 8.0¢No 94.0¢
Dario Amodei
P $87 Vol.K $7.1K Vol.
21%
Yes 27.0¢No 85.0¢
17%6.0%
9.5%
Yes 10.0¢No 91.0¢
Zohran Mamdani
P $418 Vol.K $117.6K Vol.
17%
Yes 19.0¢No 85.0¢
·3.0%
18.5%
Yes 19.0¢No 82.0¢
Donald Trump
P $175 Vol.K $106.7K Vol.
17%
Yes 22.0¢No 88.0¢
5.0%4.0%
16.5%
Yes 17.0¢No 84.0¢
Elon Musk
P $44 Vol.K $14.8K Vol.
17%
Yes 22.0¢No 88.0¢
5.0%2.0%
15.5%
Yes 17.0¢No 86.0¢
Artificial Intelligence
P $51 Vol.K $115.2K Vol.
16.5%
Yes 28.0¢No 95.0¢
17%5.0%
10.5%
Yes 11.0¢No 90.0¢
James Talarico
P $41 Vol.K $1.6K Vol.
16%
Yes 28.0¢No 96.0¢
18%3.0%
8.5%
Yes 10.0¢No 93.0¢
Taylor Swift
P $58 Vol.K $17.8K Vol.
15.5%
Yes 24.0¢No 93.1¢
19%2.9%
4.5%
Yes 5.0¢No 96.0¢
Jeremy Hansen
P $75 Vol.K $890 Vol.
15%
Yes 26.0¢No 96.0¢
16%5.0%
9.5%
Yes 10.0¢No 91.0¢
Pope Leo XIV
P $175 Vol.K $46.5K Vol.
12.5%
Yes 17.0¢No 92.0¢
3.0%10%
19%
Yes 20.0¢No 82.0¢
Christina Koch
P $70 Vol.K $1.4K Vol.
11.5%
Yes 20.0¢No 97.0¢
11%4.0%
8%
Yes 9.0¢No 93.0¢
Bad Bunny
P $98 Vol.K $64.9K Vol.
11%
Yes 19.0¢No 97.0¢
14%1.0%
4.5%
Yes 5.0¢No 96.0¢
Benjamin Netanyahu
P $64 Vol.K $1.7K Vol.
11%
Yes 19.0¢No 97.0¢
14%1.0%
4.5%
Yes 5.0¢No 96.0¢
Marco Rubio
P $324 Vol.K $680 Vol.
10%
Yes 14.0¢No 94.0¢
9.0%2.0%
4.5%
Yes 5.0¢No 96.0¢
Péter Magyar
P $147 Vol.K $68 Vol.
10%
Yes 16.0¢No 96.0¢
7.0%4.0%
8.5%
Yes 9.0¢No 92.0¢
Alysa Liu
P $59 Vol.K $820 Vol.
9%
Yes 15.0¢No 97.0¢
11%·
3.5%
Yes 4.0¢No 97.0¢
Shehbaz Sharif
P $140 Vol.K $509 Vol.
9%
Yes 13.0¢No 95.0¢
5.0%2.0%
7.5%
Yes 8.0¢No 93.0¢
Jerome Powell
P $42 Vol.K $15.3K Vol.
8.5%
Yes 12.0¢No 95.0¢
6.0%1.0%
5%
Yes 6.0¢No 96.0¢
ChatGPT
P $91 Vol.K $11.5K Vol.
7%
Yes 11.0¢No 97.0¢
4.0%2.0%
6%
Yes 7.0¢No 95.0¢
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
P $393 Vol.K $789 Vol.
7%
Yes 8.0¢No 94.0¢
2.0%3.0%
4.5%
Yes 6.0¢No 97.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei
K $103 Vol.
–
··
3%
Yes 5.0¢No 99.0¢

Arbitrage opportunities

Expires in 5 months • Dec 31, 2026

Dario Amodei

YES on Kalshi10.0¢NO on Polymarket85.0¢

P $87|K $7.1K

3.37%-4.95% net5.26% gross

Estimates from latest executable asks; fees, slippage and settlement rules vary. Not guaranteed profit.