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Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series

13 outcomes · 8 on both platforms · $38.6K total volume · TV

Price history - top outcomes

CandidatePolymarketAlphaKalshi
“Hacks”
P $4.2K Vol.K $7.2K Vol.
54%
Yes 56.3¢No 48.4¢
4.7%6.4%
59.5%
Yes 61.0¢No 42.0¢
“Widow’s Bay”
P $3.6K Vol.K $8.9K Vol.
46.5%
Yes 52.0¢No 59.0¢
15%6.0%
36%
Yes 37.0¢No 65.0¢
“The Bear”
P $1.2K Vol.K $1.2K Vol.
4.2%
Yes 7.6¢No 99.3¢
1.6%0.7%
3%
Yes 6.0¢No 100.0¢
“Only Murders in the Building”
P $1.0K Vol.K $368 Vol.
3%
Yes 5.1¢No 99.1¢
4.1%0.9%
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
“Nobody Wants This”
P $1.2K Vol.K $253 Vol.
1.6%
Yes 2.7¢No 99.5¢
1.7%0.5%
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
“Abbott Elementary”
P $975 Vol.K $825 Vol.
1%
Yes 1.4¢No 99.5¢
0.4%0.5%
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
“Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
P $962 Vol.K $2.6K Vol.
0.7%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.6¢
5.1%2.6%
4.5%
Yes 6.0¢No 97.0¢
“Shrinking”
P $769 Vol.K $2.1K Vol.
0.5%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.7¢
4.3%0.7%
3%
Yes 5.0¢No 99.0¢
Tie
K $1 Vol.
–
··
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢

Arbitrage opportunities

Expires in 2 months • Sep 14, 2026

“Widow’s Bay”

YES on Kalshi37.0¢NO on Polymarket59.0¢

P $3.6K|K $8.9K

2.85%-3.31% net4.17% gross

Expires in 2 months • Sep 14, 2026

“Hacks”

YES on Polymarket56.3¢NO on Kalshi42.0¢

P $4.2K|K $7.2K

0.55%-0.84% net1.73% gross

Expires in 2 months • Sep 14, 2026

“Margo’s Got Money Troubles”

YES on Polymarket0.9¢NO on Kalshi97.0¢

P $962|K $2.6K

0.12%-2.08% net2.15% gross

Estimates from latest executable asks; fees, slippage and settlement rules vary. Not guaranteed profit.