PMXTERMINALBeta

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

49 outcomes · 12 on both platforms · $763.6K total volume · SBF

Price history - top outcomes

CandidatePolymarketAlphaKalshi
Keonne Rodriguez
P $10.2K Vol.K $4.3K Vol.
21.5%
Yes 28.0¢No 85.0¢
7.0%4.0%
20%
Yes 21.0¢No 81.0¢
Martin Shkreli
P $29.1K Vol.K $23.4K Vol.
17%
Yes 23.0¢No 89.0¢
13%5.2%
7.8%
Yes 9.8¢No 94.2¢
Roger Ver
P $669 Vol.K $3.5K Vol.
16.5%
Yes 25.0¢No 92.0¢
19%2.8%
5.5%
Yes 5.7¢No 94.8¢
Elizabeth Holmes
P $1.4K Vol.K $7.3K Vol.
14.5%
Yes 22.0¢No 93.0¢
12%0.4%
8.7%
Yes 9.9¢No 92.6¢
Steve Bannon
P $7.7K Vol.K $7.7K Vol.
13.6%
Yes 18.5¢No 91.3¢
7.5%1.3%
10.5%
Yes 11.0¢No 90.0¢
Bob Menendez
P $157 Vol.K $641 Vol.
12.8%
Yes 23.7¢No 98.2¢
17%4.2%
6.2%
Yes 6.3¢No 94.0¢
Eric Adams
P $550 Vol.K $3.1K Vol.
9.5%
Yes 12.0¢No 93.0¢
4.7%1.5%
6.4%
Yes 7.3¢No 94.5¢
Julian Assange
P $1.8K Vol.K $3.7K Vol.
6.5%
Yes 9.5¢No 96.5¢
1.5%5.1%
9.8%
Yes 11.0¢No 91.4¢
Edward Snowden
P $1.9K Vol.K $6.3K Vol.
6.3%
Yes 10.5¢No 97.9¢
0.5%6.4%
9.3%
Yes 10.0¢No 91.5¢
Sam Bankman-Fried
P $123.5K Vol.K $60.3K Vol.
5.2%
Yes 5.3¢No 95.0¢
4.3%1.5%
8.1%
Yes 9.6¢No 93.5¢
Ghislaine Maxwell
P $17.2K Vol.K $63.9K Vol.
4.9%
Yes 6.3¢No 96.6¢
2.9%3.4%
8%
Yes 9.2¢No 93.2¢
Derek Chauvin
P $19.0K Vol.K $83.1K Vol.
4.5%
Yes 6.2¢No 97.3¢
1.7%2.4%
6.5%
Yes 7.9¢No 94.9¢
Daniel Penny
P $119 Vol.
43%
Yes 66.0¢No 80.0¢
··
–
Stefan Brodie
P $145 Vol.
30.5%
Yes 55.0¢No 94.0¢
··
–
Roger Stone
P $564 Vol.
18%
Yes 30.0¢No 94.0¢
··
–
Ryan Salame
P $22.8K Vol.
16%
Yes 17.0¢No 85.0¢
··
–
Joe Exotic
P $352 Vol.
8.5%
Yes 12.0¢No 95.0¢
··
–
Antoine Massey
$0 Vol.
7.1%
Yes 12.9¢No 98.7¢
··
–
Diddy
P $16.7K Vol.
7%
Yes 7.0¢No 93.1¢
··
–
Nicolas Maduro
P $8.6K Vol.
6%
Yes 7.0¢No 95.0¢
··
–
Hunter Biden
P $2.6K Vol.
5.6%
Yes 8.9¢No 97.6¢
··
–
Himself
P $9.1K Vol.
5.6%
Yes 6.0¢No 94.8¢
··
–
Rachel Cherwitz
K $5.1K Vol.
–
··
22.5%
Yes 23.0¢No 78.0¢
Nicole Daedone
K $5.6K Vol.
–
··
20%
Yes 21.0¢No 81.0¢
Leonard Glenn Francis
$0 Vol.
–
··
15%
Yes 16.0¢No 86.0¢
Sean Combs
K $33.7K Vol.
–
··
14%
Yes 15.0¢No 87.0¢
John Kiriakou
K $26.6K Vol.
–
··
10.5%
Yes 12.0¢No 91.0¢
Robin Smith
K $487 Vol.
–
··
10.3%
Yes 11.0¢No 90.5¢
Charlie Javice
K $9.4K Vol.
–
··
9%
Yes 11.0¢No 93.0¢
Bill Hwang
K $2.5K Vol.
–
··
8.8%
Yes 11.0¢No 93.5¢
Jared Kushner
K $4.9K Vol.
–
··
8.5%
Yes 9.4¢No 92.3¢
Larry Householder
K $93 Vol.
–
··
8.4%
Yes 9.4¢No 92.5¢
Torence Hatch
K $6.4K Vol.
–
··
7%
Yes 7.8¢No 93.9¢
Tim Leissner
K $3.9K Vol.
–
··
6.8%
Yes 9.0¢No 95.5¢
Donald Trump
K $9.8K Vol.
–
··
6.7%
Yes 8.2¢No 94.8¢
Braden John Karony
K $350 Vol.
–
··
6.1%
Yes 7.1¢No 95.0¢
Tal Alexander
K $10 Vol.
–
··
5.7%
Yes 6.6¢No 95.3¢
Matt Borges
K $5 Vol.
–
··
5.7%
Yes 6.6¢No 95.3¢
Nicolás Maduro
K $17.5K Vol.
–
··
5.3%
Yes 6.3¢No 95.8¢
Jho Low
K $3.3K Vol.
–
··
5%
Yes 6.0¢No 96.0¢

Arbitrage opportunities

Expires in 5 months • Dec 31, 2026

Roger Ver

YES on Kalshi5.7¢NO on Polymarket92.0¢

P $669|K $3.5K

0.42%-2.19% net2.35% gross

Estimates from latest executable asks; fees, slippage and settlement rules vary. Not guaranteed profit.