Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

31 outcomes · 5 on both platforms · $102.1K total volume · Brazil

Price history - top outcomes

Candidate

Alpha

Cleitinho Azevedo

P $37.5K Vol.K $3.7K Vol.

52.5%

Yes 53.0¢No 48.0¢

4.0%4.0%

56.5%

Yes 57.0¢No 44.0¢

Mateus Simões

P $4.2K Vol.K $229 Vol.

16.2%

Yes 16.8¢No 84.4¢

2.2%3.6%

15.5%

Yes 19.0¢No 88.0¢

Alexandre Kalil

P $18.3K Vol.K $66 Vol.

8.6%

Yes 9.0¢No 91.8¢

5.0%2.8%

12.5%

Yes 14.0¢No 89.0¢

Rodrigo Pacheco

P $15.9K Vol.K $6.0K Vol.

4.5%

Yes 5.0¢No 96.0¢

·4.0%

2.5%

Yes 5.0¢No 100.0¢

Gabriel Azevedo

P $3.3K Vol.K $448 Vol.

Yes 5.1¢No 97.2¢

3.9%2.8%

4.5%

Yes 9.0¢No 100.0¢

Alexandre Silveira

P $1.4K Vol.

4.5%

Yes 7.4¢No 98.5¢

··

–

Benoni Mendes

P $2.4K Vol.

1.6%

Yes 2.7¢No 99.5¢

··

–

Nikolas Ferreira

P $4.3K Vol.

0.7%

Yes 1.0¢No 99.6¢

··

–

Tadeu Leite

P $2.5K Vol.

0.5%

Yes 0.7¢No 99.7¢

··

–

Aécio Neves

P $1.7K Vol.

0.4%

Yes 0.5¢No 99.8¢

··

–

Carlos Viana

$0 Vol.

–

··

2.5%

Yes 5.0¢No 100.0¢

Arbitrage opportunities

Expires in 3 months • Oct 4, 2026

Cleitinho Azevedo

YES on Polymarket53.0¢NO on Kalshi44.0¢

P $37.5K|K $3.7K

1.94%-2.12% net3.09% gross

Expires in 3 months • Oct 4, 2026

Alexandre Kalil

YES on Polymarket9.0¢NO on Kalshi89.0¢

P $18.3K|K $66

0.18%-1.82% net2.04% gross

Estimates from latest executable asks; fees, slippage and settlement rules vary. Not guaranteed profit.