PMXTERMINALBeta

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

2 outcomes · 1 on both platforms · $189.7K total volume · Politics

Price history - top outcomes

CandidatePolymarketAlphaKalshi
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
P $165.6K Vol.K $8.6K Vol.
7.1%
Yes 7.1¢No 93.0¢
3.9%2.0%
10%
Yes 11.0¢No 91.0¢
Before Jan 20, 2029
K $15.5K Vol.
–
··
59.5%
Yes 60.0¢No 41.0¢

Arbitrage opportunities

Expires in 5 months • Dec 31, 2026

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

YES on Polymarket7.1¢NO on Kalshi91.0¢

P $165.6K|K $8.6K

0.04%-1.75% net1.94% gross

Estimates from latest executable asks; fees, slippage and settlement rules vary. Not guaranteed profit.