How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

13 outcomes · 3 on both platforms · $810.0K total volume · Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec

Price history - top outcomes

Candidate

Alpha

180-199

P $59.0K Vol.K $1.6K Vol.

4.6%

Yes 4.6¢No 95.5¢

73%68%

75%

Yes 78.0¢No 28.0¢

200 or more

P $105.4K Vol.K $26.1K Vol.

4.5%

Yes 5.0¢No 96.0¢

5.0%5.0%

9.5%

Yes 10.0¢No 91.0¢

100-119

P $2.7K Vol.K $29.8K Vol.

Yes 1.2¢No 99.3¢

6.8%6.3%

7.5%

Yes 8.0¢No 93.0¢

140-159

P $47.4K Vol.

49.2%

Yes 51.8¢No 53.5¢

··

–

160-179

P $94.5K Vol.

34%

Yes 37.0¢No 69.0¢

··

–

120-139

P $3.6K Vol.

1.7%

Yes 1.9¢No 98.6¢

··

–

<100

P $4.0K Vol.

0.7%

Yes 0.9¢No 99.6¢

··

–

Above 120

K $31.2K Vol.

–

··

96.5%

Yes 97.0¢No 4.0¢

Above 140

K $52.9K Vol.

–

··

89%

Yes 90.0¢No 12.0¢

Above 160

K $142.9K Vol.

–

··

38.5%

Yes 39.0¢No 62.0¢

Above 170

K $68.2K Vol.

–

··

15.5%

Yes 16.0¢No 85.0¢

Above 180

K $103.7K Vol.

–

··

9.5%

Yes 10.0¢No 91.0¢

Above 190

K $37.2K Vol.

–

··

7.5%

Yes 8.0¢No 93.0¢

Arbitrage opportunities

Expires in 5 months • Dec 31, 2026

200 or more

YES on Polymarket5.0¢NO on Kalshi91.0¢

P $105.4K|K $26.1K

2.19%-3.98% net4.17% gross

Estimates from latest executable asks; fees, slippage and settlement rules vary. Not guaranteed profit.