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What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents Dinner?

36 outcomes · 11 on both platforms · $343.5K total volume · Trump

Price history - top outcomes

CandidatePolymarketAlphaKalshi
Fake News
P $109 Vol.K $11.0K Vol.
69%
Yes 76.0¢No 38.0¢
6.0%17%
80.5%
Yes 82.0¢No 21.0¢
Nasty
P $40 Vol.K $4.3K Vol.
51%
Yes 75.0¢No 73.0¢
40%6.0%
34%
Yes 35.0¢No 67.0¢
Movie Star
P $40 Vol.K $9.5K Vol.
50%
Yes 81.0¢No 81.0¢
57%1.0%
21%
Yes 24.0¢No 82.0¢
Nobel / Peace Prize
P $40 Vol.K $23.9K Vol.
50%
Yes 79.0¢No 79.0¢
74%17%
4.5%
Yes 5.0¢No 96.0¢
Butler
P $60 Vol.K $3.9K Vol.
46%
Yes 75.0¢No 83.0¢
9.0%46%
64.5%
Yes 66.0¢No 37.0¢
Central Casting
P $90 Vol.K $9.0K Vol.
45%
Yes 74.0¢No 84.0¢
41%15%
32%
Yes 33.0¢No 69.0¢
Sleepy
P $346 Vol.K $7.2K Vol.
44%
Yes 45.0¢No 57.0¢
11%12%
55.5%
Yes 56.0¢No 45.0¢
Drone
P $40 Vol.K $5.0K Vol.
40%
Yes 69.0¢No 89.0¢
8.0%47%
59.5%
Yes 61.0¢No 42.0¢
Transgender
P $1.0K Vol.K $6.6K Vol.
35.5%
Yes 36.0¢No 65.0¢
3.0%4.0%
32%
Yes 33.0¢No 69.0¢
Tough Cookie
P $165 Vol.K $9.5K Vol.
32.5%
Yes 45.0¢No 80.0¢
9.0%31%
52.5%
Yes 54.0¢No 49.0¢
Shots fired / Shots will be fired
P $576 Vol.K $8.8K Vol.
32.5%
Yes 33.0¢No 68.0¢
21%16%
51%
Yes 54.0¢No 52.0¢
Iran 3+ times
P $99 Vol.
58.5%
Yes 81.0¢No 64.0¢
··
–
Melania
P $40 Vol.
53.5%
Yes 80.0¢No 73.0¢
··
–
Hell 5+ times
P $40 Vol.
46.5%
Yes 71.0¢No 78.0¢
··
–
Gulf of America / Gulf of Trump
$0 Vol.
45%
Yes 80.0¢No 90.0¢
··
–
Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times
P $60 Vol.
32.5%
Yes 41.0¢No 76.0¢
··
–
Biden 5+ times
P $88 Vol.
28.5%
Yes 38.0¢No 81.0¢
··
–
-No Qualifying Event-
P $160 Vol.
28%
Yes 49.0¢No 93.0¢
··
–
Six Seven
P $45 Vol.
7.5%
Yes 10.0¢No 95.0¢
··
–
Ballroom
K $11.3K Vol.
–
··
66%
Yes 67.0¢No 35.0¢
Cheat / Cheater / Cheating
K $10.8K Vol.
–
··
61%
Yes 62.0¢No 40.0¢
Comedy / Comedian
K $4.1K Vol.
–
··
60%
Yes 66.0¢No 46.0¢
Radical Left
K $14.7K Vol.
–
··
58%
Yes 59.0¢No 43.0¢
China
K $19.4K Vol.
–
··
57%
Yes 58.0¢No 44.0¢
Oil
K $12.1K Vol.
–
··
55%
Yes 56.0¢No 46.0¢
250
K $13.0K Vol.
–
··
51.5%
Yes 53.0¢No 50.0¢
Barack Hussein Obama
K $15.3K Vol.
–
··
48.5%
Yes 49.0¢No 52.0¢
Israel / Israeli
K $13.4K Vol.
–
··
40%
Yes 41.0¢No 61.0¢
Iran (3+ times)
K $14.1K Vol.
–
··
38%
Yes 41.0¢No 65.0¢
Newsom / Newscum
K $7.6K Vol.
–
··
34.5%
Yes 38.0¢No 69.0¢
Kamala
K $3.9K Vol.
–
··
34.5%
Yes 37.0¢No 68.0¢
Hoax
K $13.0K Vol.
–
··
33%
Yes 34.0¢No 68.0¢
AI / Artificial Intelligence
K $10.4K Vol.
–
··
29%
Yes 30.0¢No 72.0¢
Event does not qualify
K $19.6K Vol.
–
··
9.5%
Yes 12.0¢No 93.0¢
Weave / Weaved / Weaving
K $6.9K Vol.
–
··
7%
Yes 8.0¢No 94.0¢
Crypto / Bitcoin
K $54.3K Vol.
–
··
5.5%
Yes 6.0¢No 95.0¢

Arbitrage opportunities

Expires in 7d • Jul 24, 2026

Fake News

YES on Polymarket76.0¢NO on Kalshi21.0¢

P $109|K $11.0K

1.46%-2.60% net3.09% gross

Expires in 7d • Jul 24, 2026

Transgender

YES on Kalshi33.0¢NO on Polymarket65.0¢

P $1.0K|K $6.6K

0.67%-1.33% net2.04% gross

Estimates from latest executable asks; fees, slippage and settlement rules vary. Not guaranteed profit.