Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie

13 outcomes · 5 on both platforms · $54.9K total volume · TV

Price history - top outcomes

Candidate

Alpha

Oscar Isaac – “Beef”

P $3.0K Vol.K $6.1K Vol.

49.5%

Yes 50.0¢No 51.0¢

4.0%1.0%

52%

Yes 54.0¢No 50.0¢

Riz Ahmed – “Bait”

P $16.4K Vol.K $2.5K Vol.

19.5%

Yes 20.0¢No 81.0¢

5.0%2.0%

23%

Yes 25.0¢No 79.0¢

Matthew Rhys – “The Beast In Me”

P $2.8K Vol.K $5.8K Vol.

12%

Yes 14.0¢No 90.0¢

5.0%6.0%

17.5%

Yes 19.0¢No 84.0¢

Jason Bateman – “Black Rabbit”

P $7.9K Vol.K $1.3K Vol.

10.5%

Yes 11.0¢No 90.0¢

1.0%4.0%

Yes 10.0¢No 94.0¢

Charlie Hunnam – “Monster: The Ed Gein Story”

P $781 Vol.K $1.1K Vol.

0.6%

Yes 0.9¢No 99.8¢

4.1%0.2%

2.5%

Yes 5.0¢No 100.0¢

Tie

K $2 Vol.

–

··

Yes 4.0¢No 100.0¢

Arbitrage opportunities

Expires in 2 months • Sep 14, 2026

Matthew Rhys – “The Beast In Me”

YES on Polymarket14.0¢NO on Kalshi84.0¢

P $2.8K|K $5.8K

0.29%-1.71% net2.04% gross

Estimates from latest executable asks; fees, slippage and settlement rules vary. Not guaranteed profit.