Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie

12 outcomes · 5 on both platforms · $23.2K total volume · TV

Price history - top outcomes

Candidate

Alpha

Carey Mulligan – “Beef”

P $2.0K Vol.K $5.9K Vol.

43.5%

Yes 44.0¢No 57.0¢

2.0%4.0%

40.5%

Yes 42.0¢No 61.0¢

Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault”

P $2.6K Vol.K $2.7K Vol.

37.5%

Yes 38.0¢No 63.0¢

4.0%8.0%

31.5%

Yes 34.0¢No 71.0¢

Sally Field – “Remarkably Bright Creatures”

P $703 Vol.K $752 Vol.

10.4%

Yes 11.6¢No 90.8¢

0.6%3.2%

8.5%

Yes 11.0¢No 94.0¢

Sarah Pidgeon – “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. and Carolyn Bessette”

P $1.9K Vol.K $4.3K Vol.

6.8%

Yes 9.1¢No 95.5¢

6.9%6.5%

13.5%

Yes 16.0¢No 89.0¢

Claire Danes – “The Beast In Me”

P $666 Vol.K $1.3K Vol.

6.1%

Yes 8.9¢No 96.7¢

1.9%1.3%

4.5%

Yes 7.0¢No 98.0¢

Tie

K $1 Vol.

–

··

Yes 4.0¢No 100.0¢

Arbitrage opportunities

Expires in 2 months • Sep 14, 2026

Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault”

YES on Kalshi34.0¢NO on Polymarket63.0¢

P $2.6K|K $2.7K

1.73%-2.33% net3.09% gross

Expires in 2 months • Sep 14, 2026

Sarah Pidgeon – “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. and Carolyn Bessette”

YES on Polymarket9.1¢NO on Kalshi89.0¢

P $1.9K|K $4.3K

0.08%-1.71% net1.94% gross

Estimates from latest executable asks; fees, slippage and settlement rules vary. Not guaranteed profit.