New Zealand legislative election winner?

34 outcomes · 5 on both platforms · $41.7K total volume · Politics

Price history - top outcomes

Candidate

Alpha

Labour Party

P $12.7K Vol.K $5.2K Vol.

68%

Yes 69.0¢No 33.0¢

6.0%9.0%

60.5%

Yes 63.0¢No 42.0¢

National Party

P $13.9K Vol.K $2.3K Vol.

30.5%

Yes 31.0¢No 70.0¢

10.0%8.0%

39.5%

Yes 41.0¢No 62.0¢

Te Pāti Māori

P $2.0K Vol.K $1 Vol.

0.2%

Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢

5.6%·

Yes 5.8¢No 99.9¢

ACT New Zealand

P $1.9K Vol.

0.2%

Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢

5.6%·

Yes 5.8¢No 99.9¢

Green Party

P $1.9K Vol.

0.2%

Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢

5.6%·

Yes 5.8¢No 99.9¢

New Zealand First Party

P $1.7K Vol.

0.5%

Yes 0.7¢No 99.7¢

··

–

NZ First

$0 Vol.

–

··

Yes 5.8¢No 99.9¢

Arbitrage opportunities

Expires in 4 months • Nov 7, 2026

National Party

YES on Polymarket31.0¢NO on Kalshi62.0¢

P $13.9K|K $2.3K

6.04%-6.71% net7.53% gross

Expires in 4 months • Nov 7, 2026

Labour Party

YES on Kalshi63.0¢NO on Polymarket33.0¢

P $12.7K|K $5.2K

2.77%-3.40% net4.17% gross

Estimates from latest executable asks; fees, slippage and settlement rules vary. Not guaranteed profit.