PMXTERMINALBeta

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

60 outcomes · 22 on both platforms · $4.1M total volume · Sports

Price history - top outcomes

CandidatePolymarketAlphaKalshi
Jannik Sinner
P $67.0K Vol.K $53.0K Vol.
52.5%
Yes 53.0¢No 48.0¢
3.0%3.0%
55.5%
Yes 56.0¢No 45.0¢
Carlos Alcaraz
P $91.1K Vol.K $77.6K Vol.
22%
Yes 23.0¢No 79.0¢
5.0%2.0%
25.5%
Yes 28.0¢No 77.0¢
Alexander Zverev
P $57.5K Vol.K $18.6K Vol.
8.1%
Yes 8.1¢No 92.0¢
0.1%1.0%
7.5%
Yes 8.0¢No 93.0¢
Novak Djokovic
P $226.2K Vol.K $116.0K Vol.
4.5%
Yes 4.7¢No 95.8¢
0.3%0.2%
4.5%
Yes 5.0¢No 96.0¢
Daniil Medvedev
P $57.6K Vol.K $5.9K Vol.
1.9%
Yes 2.0¢No 98.2¢
·0.8%
1.5%
Yes 2.0¢No 99.0¢
Ben Shelton
P $83.2K Vol.K $9.3K Vol.
1.7%
Yes 1.7¢No 98.4¢
1.3%0.4%
2.5%
Yes 3.0¢No 98.0¢
Taylor Fritz
P $54.8K Vol.K $16.7K Vol.
1.7%
Yes 1.8¢No 98.5¢
0.2%0.5%
1.5%
Yes 2.0¢No 99.0¢
Joao Fonseca
P $135.6K Vol.K $6.1K Vol.
1%
Yes 1.0¢No 99.1¢
1.0%0.1%
1.5%
Yes 2.0¢No 99.0¢
Jack Draper
P $92.1K Vol.K $2.4K Vol.
0.9%
Yes 1.0¢No 99.2¢
·0.8%
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Jakub Mensik
P $121.1K Vol.K $5.9K Vol.
0.9%
Yes 1.0¢No 99.3¢
1.0%0.3%
1.5%
Yes 2.0¢No 99.0¢
Arthur Fils
P $98.8K Vol.K $2.3K Vol.
0.9%
Yes 1.0¢No 99.3¢
·0.7%
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Matteo Berrettini
P $328.4K Vol.K $334 Vol.
0.8%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.4¢
0.1%0.6%
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Andrey Rublev
P $161.3K Vol.K $93 Vol.
0.8%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.3¢
0.2%0.7%
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Frances Tiafoe
P $48.2K Vol.K $4.8K Vol.
0.7%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.4¢
0.3%0.6%
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Jiri Lehecka
P $317.3K Vol.K $3.4K Vol.
0.6%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.6¢
0.2%0.4%
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Hubert Hurkacz
P $192.8K Vol.
0.6%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.6¢
0.2%0.4%
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Alexander Bublik
P $65.4K Vol.K $6.3K Vol.
0.6%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.5¢
0.3%0.5%
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Lorenzo Musetti
P $214.8K Vol.K $1.2K Vol.
0.5%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.7¢
0.3%0.3%
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Flavio Cobolli
P $52.2K Vol.K $2.0K Vol.
0.5%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.6¢
0.5%0.4%
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Grigor Dimitrov
P $690.0K Vol.
0.4%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
0.6%0.3%
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Holger Rune
P $50.2K Vol.K $1.0K Vol.
0.4%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
0.6%0.3%
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Felix Auger-Aliassime
K $9.2K Vol.
–
··
1.5%
Yes 2.0¢No 99.0¢
Rafael Jodar
K $7.3K Vol.
–
··
1%
Yes 2.0¢No 100.0¢
Alex de Minaur
K $1.6K Vol.
–
··
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Francisco Cerundolo
K $1.4K Vol.
–
··
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Casper Ruud
K $1.1K Vol.
–
··
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Valentin Vacherot
K $916 Vol.
–
··
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Stefanos Tsitsipas
K $187 Vol.
–
··
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Sebastian Korda
K $93 Vol.
–
··
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Gabriel Diallo
K $92 Vol.
–
··
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Karen Khachanov
$0 Vol.
–
··
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢
Jan-Lennard Struff
$0 Vol.
–
··
0.5%
Yes 1.0¢No 100.0¢

Arbitrage opportunities

Expires in 2 months • Sep 13, 2026

Jannik Sinner

YES on Polymarket53.0¢NO on Kalshi45.0¢

P $67.0K|K $53.0K

0.92%-1.08% net2.04% gross

Estimates from latest executable asks; fees, slippage and settlement rules vary. Not guaranteed profit.