PMXTERMINALBeta

Who will be arrested before 2027?

25 outcomes · 23 on both platforms · $1.2M total volume · James Comey

Price history - top outcomes

CandidatePolymarketAlphaKalshi
John Brennan
P $9.5K Vol.K $132.0K Vol.
44%
Yes 47.0¢No 59.0¢
4.0%9.0%
50.5%
Yes 51.0¢No 50.0¢
James Clapper
P $4.8K Vol.K $56.2K Vol.
21%
Yes 27.0¢No 85.0¢
2.0%6.0%
23%
Yes 25.0¢No 79.0¢
Letitia James
P $1.8K Vol.K $149.2K Vol.
20%
Yes 29.0¢No 89.0¢
12%5.0%
16.5%
Yes 17.0¢No 84.0¢
Mahmoud Khalil
P $1.2K Vol.K $7.6K Vol.
19%
Yes 22.0¢No 84.0¢
4.0%5.0%
23.5%
Yes 26.0¢No 79.0¢
Loretta Lynch
P $2.2K Vol.K $7.8K Vol.
17.5%
Yes 24.0¢No 89.0¢
11%2.9%
10.6%
Yes 13.0¢No 91.9¢
Tom Homan
P $36.1K Vol.K $7.0K Vol.
13.7%
Yes 14.1¢No 86.7¢
6.1%7.3%
7%
Yes 8.0¢No 94.0¢
Anthony Fauci
P $24.6K Vol.K $74.2K Vol.
13.5%
Yes 15.0¢No 88.0¢
7.0%5.0%
7.5%
Yes 8.0¢No 93.0¢
Candace Owens
P $257 Vol.K $1.9K Vol.
11.4%
Yes 21.5¢No 98.8¢
13%3.8%
7%
Yes 8.9¢No 95.0¢
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
P $14.4K Vol.K $11.3K Vol.
11%
Yes 12.0¢No 90.0¢
6.0%7.0%
17.5%
Yes 18.0¢No 83.0¢
Brandon Johnson
P $3.1K Vol.K $3.4K Vol.
10.5%
Yes 20.0¢No 99.0¢
12%2.1%
5.7%
Yes 8.2¢No 96.9¢
Susan Rice
P $302 Vol.K $12.4K Vol.
8%
Yes 11.0¢No 95.0¢
3.1%2.0%
7.5%
Yes 7.9¢No 93.0¢
Lisa Cook
P $701 Vol.K $27.2K Vol.
6.5%
Yes 7.0¢No 94.0¢
4.0%4.0%
10.5%
Yes 11.0¢No 90.0¢
Kash Patel
P $223 Vol.K $5.7K Vol.
5.9%
Yes 8.9¢No 97.2¢
1.9%0.7%
5.3%
Yes 7.0¢No 96.5¢
John Kerry
P $187 Vol.K $6.6K Vol.
5.5%
Yes 6.0¢No 95.0¢
0.9%·
6%
Yes 6.9¢No 95.0¢
Lee Jun-seok
P $595 Vol.K $3.2K Vol.
5.5%
Yes 8.0¢No 97.0¢
2.0%3.1%
8.1%
Yes 10.0¢No 93.9¢
Gavin Newsom
P $32.2K Vol.K $36.5K Vol.
5%
Yes 6.0¢No 96.0¢
2.4%3.0%
7.7%
Yes 8.4¢No 93.0¢
Hillary Clinton
P $19.8K Vol.K $134.8K Vol.
4.5%
Yes 5.0¢No 96.0¢
4.0%3.0%
8%
Yes 9.0¢No 93.0¢
Pam Bondi
P $1.6K Vol.K $11.7K Vol.
4.1%
Yes 6.0¢No 97.9¢
2.0%0.9%
3.5%
Yes 4.0¢No 97.0¢
Benjamin Netanyahu
P $927 Vol.K $6.2K Vol.
3.3%
Yes 5.6¢No 99.0¢
4.4%5.0%
8%
Yes 10.0¢No 94.0¢
Adam Schiff
P $15.5K Vol.K $49.1K Vol.
3.3%
Yes 4.3¢No 97.8¢
5.7%3.8%
8%
Yes 10.0¢No 94.0¢
Joe Biden
P $4.9K Vol.K $8.1K Vol.
2.8%
Yes 3.3¢No 97.8¢
1.7%0.8%
4%
Yes 5.0¢No 97.0¢
Barack Obama
P $25.0K Vol.K $219.1K Vol.
2.6%
Yes 2.8¢No 97.6¢
3.2%3.3%
5.9%
Yes 6.0¢No 94.3¢
Bill Clinton
P $880 Vol.K $38.3K Vol.
2.2%
Yes 2.8¢No 98.4¢
4.2%4.4%
6.5%
Yes 7.0¢No 94.0¢
James Comey
P $9.5K Vol.
8.6%
Yes 10.9¢No 93.7¢
··
–
Lee Jae Myung
K $378 Vol.
–
··
9.5%
Yes 16.0¢No 97.0¢

Arbitrage opportunities

Expires in 5 months • Jan 1, 2027

Tom Homan

YES on Kalshi8.0¢NO on Polymarket86.7¢

P $36.1K|K $7.0K

3.65%-5.32% net5.60% gross

Expires in 5 months • Jan 1, 2027

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero

YES on Polymarket12.0¢NO on Kalshi83.0¢

P $14.4K|K $11.3K

3.41%-4.91% net5.26% gross

Expires in 5 months • Jan 1, 2027

Anthony Fauci

YES on Kalshi8.0¢NO on Polymarket88.0¢

P $24.6K|K $74.2K

2.25%-3.92% net4.17% gross

Expires in 5 months • Jan 1, 2027

John Brennan

YES on Polymarket47.0¢NO on Kalshi50.0¢

P $9.5K|K $132.0K

2.00%-2.06% net3.09% gross

Expires in 5 months • Jan 1, 2027

Bill Clinton

YES on Polymarket2.8¢NO on Kalshi94.0¢

P $880|K $38.3K

1.30%-3.18% net3.31% gross

Expires in 5 months • Jan 1, 2027

Lisa Cook

YES on Polymarket7.0¢NO on Kalshi90.0¢

P $701|K $27.2K

1.18%-2.89% net3.09% gross

Expires in 5 months • Jan 1, 2027

Barack Obama

YES on Polymarket2.8¢NO on Kalshi94.3¢

P $25.0K|K $219.1K

0.98%-2.87% net2.99% gross

Expires in 5 months • Jan 1, 2027

Hillary Clinton

YES on Polymarket5.0¢NO on Kalshi93.0¢

P $19.8K|K $134.8K

0.10%-1.90% net2.04% gross

Estimates from latest executable asks; fees, slippage and settlement rules vary. Not guaranteed profit.