Closest Senate Race?

16 outcomes · 15 on both platforms · $192.3K total volume · Senate

Price history - top outcomes

Candidate

Alpha

Texas

P $251 Vol.K $24.0K Vol.

15.5%

Yes 16.0¢No 85.0¢

1.0%1.0%

16.5%

Yes 17.0¢No 84.0¢

Michigan

P $181 Vol.K $11.6K Vol.

15%

Yes 17.0¢No 87.0¢

6.0%3.0%

10.5%

Yes 11.0¢No 90.0¢

Iowa

P $2.3K Vol.K $14.7K Vol.

13.1%

Yes 14.8¢No 88.7¢

1.8%0.7%

12.5%

Yes 13.0¢No 88.0¢

Colorado

P $157 Vol.K $3.5K Vol.

12.5%

Yes 13.0¢No 88.0¢

11%11%

1.5%

Yes 2.0¢No 99.0¢

Alaska

P $4.5K Vol.K $12.3K Vol.

11%

Yes 12.0¢No 90.0¢

1.0%1.0%

10%

Yes 11.0¢No 91.0¢

Maine

P $355 Vol.K $16.4K Vol.

10.5%

Yes 11.0¢No 90.0¢

·1.5%

9.8%

Yes 11.0¢No 91.5¢

Ohio (Special)

P $2.4K Vol.K $13.7K Vol.

8.7%

Yes 9.9¢No 92.6¢

2.1%3.6%

11.5%

Yes 12.0¢No 89.0¢

North Carolina

P $521 Vol.K $8.1K Vol.

5.1%

Yes 6.6¢No 96.5¢

0.2%1.9%

5.9%

Yes 6.4¢No 94.6¢

New Hampshire

P $409 Vol.K $9.0K Vol.

Yes 7.0¢No 97.0¢

2.6%0.1%

3.8%

Yes 4.4¢No 96.9¢

New Mexico

P $145 Vol.K $4.9K Vol.

4.2%

Yes 6.6¢No 98.2¢

3.6%0.2%

2.5%

Yes 3.0¢No 98.0¢

Georgia

P $691 Vol.K $23.4K Vol.

3.6%

Yes 3.6¢No 96.5¢

2.4%0.6%

5.1%

Yes 6.0¢No 95.9¢

Florida (Special)

P $175 Vol.K $9.3K Vol.

3.2%

Yes 5.1¢No 98.8¢

0.1%2.8%

4.5%

Yes 5.0¢No 96.0¢

Nebraska

P $209 Vol.K $10.5K Vol.

3.1%

Yes 5.4¢No 99.3¢

1.9%6.5%

7.3%

Yes 7.3¢No 92.8¢

Minnesota

P $1.1K Vol.K $8.5K Vol.

Yes 1.6¢No 99.7¢

1.2%1.6%

2.4%

Yes 2.8¢No 98.1¢

Montana

P $450 Vol.K $4.4K Vol.

0.7%

Yes 1.1¢No 99.7¢

0.9%0.7%

1.5%

Yes 2.0¢No 99.0¢

Virginia

P $4.3K Vol.

7.5%

Yes 8.0¢No 93.0¢

··

–

Arbitrage opportunities

Expires in 4 months • Nov 3, 2026

Michigan

YES on Kalshi11.0¢NO on Polymarket87.0¢

P $181|K $11.6K

0.22%-1.78% net2.04% gross

Estimates from latest executable asks; fees, slippage and settlement rules vary. Not guaranteed profit.